Author Archive

China in Burma: Increasing Investments of Chinese MNCs in Burma’s Hydropower, Oil & Natural Gas, and Mining Sectors

Abstract This survey reveals a rapidly increasing number of Chinese multinational companies (MNCs) involved in hydropower, oil and natural gas, and mining projects in Burma. The report identifies that at least 45 Chinese companies have been involved in approximately 63 hydropower projects in Burma. The report raises concerns about the lack of public information about these projects as well as the potential social and environmental impacts given the current situation in Burma.
Date 2008 09
Author
Publisher EarthRights International
Link http://archive-2011.resources.revenuewatch.org/sites/default/files/Earth%20Rights-China%20in%20Burma.pdf
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

The Burma-China Pipelines: Human Rights Violations, Applicable Law, and Revenue Secrecy

Abstract This briefer provides up-to-date information on the Burma-China gas and oil pipelines. Through firsthand accounts, leaked documents, and publicly available information, EarthRights International analyzes corporate responsibility and accountability with respect to the pipelines, according to international laws and standards, and Burmese law. It discusses how to mitigate harmful impacts and improve the benefits for the people of Burma, and concludes with practical recommendations for key stakeholders.
Date 2011 03
Author
Publisher Earthrights International
Link http://www.earthrights.org/sites/default/files/documents/the-burma-china-pipelines.pdf
Series Situation Briefer No. 1
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

Pipeline Politics: Comparative Bargaining Capacity in the Sino-Japanese Competition for Siberian Oil

Abstract This article analyzes the relative bargaining capabilities of China and Japan in their drawn-out quest for Siberian oil. We apply an institutional analysis that examines over-time and cross-country variations in government-business relations and elite bureaucratic interests in responding to domestic energy needs and international oil supply options. While one might have expected China’s authoritarian policymaking process to convey an advantage in bilateral negotiations with Moscow, in fact Beijing became bogged down over the ten-year negotiation period with shifting corporate interests of national oil companies, bureaucratic preferences through administrative reform and succession politics, and elite redefinitions of energy security and ways to diversify the sources of imported crude oil. As a result, Beijing faltered in its commitment to Siberian oil. In contrast, the Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi exercised executive autonomy to secure a pipeline deal with Russia before seeking a consensus among the divided domestic bureaucratic and corporate interests. Our surprising findings highlight political economic contingencies that shape China’s and Japan’s strategies in addressing fundamental energy needs, with implications for the contentious nature of energy and security cooperation in Northeast Asia.
Date 2012 10
Author Dr. Kun-Chin Lin
Publisher Centre for Rising Powers
Link http://mws.polis.cam.ac.uk/crp/research/workingpapers/pdf/CRP_Working_Paper_6_Pipeline_Politics_Lin_and_Williams.pdf
Series Working Paper #6
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

China’s Role in the East African Oil and Gas Sector: a New Model of Engagement?

Abstract The oil and gas bonanza currently underway in East African looks set to alter the broader economic and geopolitical landscape of the region. As China continues its quest for energy security, East Africa is becoming an increasingly important region. Both Chinese state and non-state companies have gained a foot-hold in Uganda, Tanzania, Ethiopia and Kenya, where they are involved in both upstream and downstream activities. The Chinese presence, while significant, is off-set by a host of Euro-American, Middle Eastern and other Asian companies also involved in exploiting the region’s energy reserves. Infrastructural underdevelopment in the region is forcing Chinese companies to engage on the continent in new ways including the rise of joint Chinese-Euro-American ventures. This trend, in which China and its partners own financial stakes in infrastructure projects located in geo-politically unstable regions, will have future implications regarding security and national sovereignty within the region.
Date 2012 08
Author
Publisher
Link http://www.ccs.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/ccs_policy_briefing_8_2012_ra_east_africa_china_oil_and_gas.pdf
Series CCS Policy Briefing, No. 8
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

China’s Global Shopping Spree: Is the World’s Future Resource Map Tilting East?

Abstract Think of it as a tale of two countries.  When it comes to procuring the resources that make industrial societies run, China is now the shopaholic of planet Earth, while the United States is staying at home.  Hard-hit by the global recession, the United States has experienced a marked decline in the consumption of oil and other key industrial materials.  Not so China.  With the recession’s crippling effects expected to linger in the U.S. for many years, analysts foresee a slow recovery when it comes to resource consumption.  Not so China. In fact, the Chinese are already experiencing a sharp increase in the use of oil and other commodities.  More than that, anticipating the kind of voracious resource consumption that goes with anticipated future growth, and worried about the availability of adequate supplies, giant Chinese energy and manufacturing firms — many of them state-owned — have been on a veritable spending binge when it comes to locking down resource supplies for the twenty-first century.  They have acquired oil fields, natural gas reserves, mines, pipelines, refineries, and other resource assets in a global buying spree of almost unprecedented proportions.
Date 2010 04 05
Author Michael T. Klare
Publisher
Link http://www.zcommunications.org/chinas-global-shopping-spree-by-michael-t-klare
Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    Peak Oil and its Implications for Hong Kong

    Abstract The looming peak in global oil production represents a huge risk to Hong Kong and the world. Yet the concept of Peak Oil and its consequences remain poorly understood. This briefing document provides a high level overview of the issue, its implications and some initial recommendations for the HKSAR government. Hong Kong’s unique position in China and indeed in the region could be permanently damaged, should Peak Oil materialize. Although we do not intend to be alarmist, recent evidence suggests that the peaking of global production should no longer be an abstract debate. We believe that the downside risks are substantial enough to justify immediate action. Specifically, the HKSAR government should err on the side of caution by managing risk and pro-actively preparing for Peak Oil.
    Date 2007 06
    Author Geoffrey Chen
    Publisher
    Link http://web.cup.edu.cn/peakoil/document/20081016200611906081.pdf
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

    China’s Oil Reserve Forecast and Analysis Based on Peak Oil Models

    Abstract In order to forecast future oil production it is necessary to know the size of the reserves and use models. In this article, we use the typical Peak Oil models, the Hu–Chen–Zhang model usually called HCZ model and the Hubbert model, which have been used commonly for forecasting in China and the world, to forecast China’s oil Ultimate Recovery (URR). The former appears to give more realistic results based on an URR for China of 15.64 billion tons. The study leads to some suggestions for new policies to meet the unfolding energy situation.
    Date 2008
    Author Lianyong Feng
    Publisher
    Link http://aspousa.org/2008/11/china-oil-reserve-forecast-and-analysis-based-on-peak-oil-models/
    Series Energy Policy 36
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

    Drilling and Production, Peak Oil Models Forecast China’s Oil Supply, Demand

    Abstract China’s oil production and demand is forecast using the Hubbert, Generalized Weng, and HCZ models. The Generalized Weng model best fits China’s oil production and forecasts a peak oil production of 194 tonnes/​year in 2026. The Hubbert model best fits China’s oil demand, which is expected to peak at 633 tonnes/​year in 2032. With a response from Jean Laherrere, 22 January 2008, Questions to Feng Lianyong on the OGJ 14 Jan.2008 article: “Peak oil models forecast China’s oil supply, demand” http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/files/JL_Q-OGJ14Jan08.pdf  
    Date 2008 01 14
    Author Feng Lianyong
    Publisher PennWell Publishing Corp
    Link http://www.ogj.com/articles/print/volume-106/issue-2/drilling-production/peak-oil-models-forecast-chinarsquos-oil-supply-demand.html
    Series The Oil and Gas Journal
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

    The Evolution and Present Status of the Study on Peak Oil in China

    Abstract Peak oil theory is a theory concerning long-term oil reserves and the rate of oil production. Peak oil refers to the maximum rate of the production of oil or gas in any area under consideration. Its inevitability is analyzed from three aspects. The factors that influence peak oil and their mechanisms are discussed. These include the amount of resources, the discovery maturity of resources, the depletion rate of reserves and the demand for oil. The advance in the study of peak oil in China is divided into three stages. The main characteristics, main researchers, forecast results and research methods are described in each stage. The progress of the study of peak oil in China is summarized and the present problems are analyzed. Finally three development trends of peak oil study in China are presented.
    Date 2009
    Author Pang Xiongqi
    Publisher China University of Petroleum
    Link ttp://www.globe-expert.eu/quixplorer/filestorage/Interfocus/5-Climat_Environnement/51-Energies_Matieres_Premieres/51-SRCNL-Petroleum_Science/200905/The_evolution_and_present_status_of_the_study_on_peak_oil_in_China.pdf
    Series Petroleum Science Journal
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

    Forecast of Oil Reserves and Production in Daqing Oilfield of China

    Abstract As China’s largest oilfield, Daqing is of great importance to China , this paper analyses the status of the Daqing oilfield and forecasts its ultimate recoverable reserves by use of the URR model. The forecast results are presented for three scenarios which show that the ultimate recoverable reserves in Daqing oilfield are 3574.0 million tons in the optimistic scenario, 3169.3 million in the base case scenario and 3033.3 million in the pessimistic scenario, respectively. A system dynamics model is established and the quantitative relationships between variables in the model are determined. Total oil production, remaining recoverable reserves, annual newly discovered reserves, and the degree of reserves recovery before 2060 are simulated under the three scenarios by use of the system dynamics model. The forecast results show that the future oil production in Daqing oilfield will continue declining, under the base case scenario, from 41.6 million tons in2007 to 8.0 million tons in2060. For Chinese policy makers, it is worth paying attention to the problem of whether oil production in new oilfields can effectively make up for the decline in production of the large, old oilfields.
    Date 2010
    Author XuTang
    Publisher
    Link http://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:317938/FULLTEXT02
    Series Energy 35
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil