Abstract |
China’s oil production and demand is forecast using the Hubbert, Generalized Weng, and HCZ models. The Generalized Weng model best fits China’s oil production and forecasts a peak oil production of 194 tonnes/year in 2026. The Hubbert model best fits China’s oil demand, which is expected to peak at 633 tonnes/year in 2032. With a response from Jean Laherrere, 22 January 2008, Questions to Feng Lianyong on the OGJ 14 Jan.2008 article: “Peak oil models forecast China’s oil supply, demand” http://aspofrance.viabloga.com/files/JL_Q-OGJ14Jan08.pdf |