Abstract |
Rapid economic growth in the People’s Republic of China will drive an annual growth rate of 2.4% in final energy demand (2005–2030). Total primary energy demand is projected to grow at 2.6% annually. Coal will account for the bulk of the primary energy mix, at 53.4% in 2030, although it represents a reduced share compared with the 2005 level of 63.2%. The increasing amount of oil demand will have to be met by imports, with oil import dependency increasing from 43.6% in 2005 to 71.9% in 2030. Nuclear power will play a key role to slow carbon dioxide emissions; its growth rate will be about 11.9% (2005–2030) |