China Energy and Emissions Paths to 2030 (2nd Edition)

Abstract This study presents two modelling methodologies that evaluate both the technical and economic potential of raising China’s efficiency levels to the technical maximum across sectors and the subsequent carbon and energy emission implications through 2030. The technical savings potential by efficiency measure and remaining gap for improvements are identified by comparing a reference scenario in which China continues the current pace of with a Max Tech scenario in which the highest technically feasible efficiencies and advanced technologies are adopted irrespective of costs. In addition, from an economic perspective, a cost analysis of selected measures in the key industries of cement and iron and steel help quantify the actual costs and benefits of achieving the highest efficiency levels through the development of cost of conserved energy curves for the sectors.
Author Fridley, David; Zheng, Nina; Zhou, Nan; Ke, Jing; Hansanbeigi, Ali; Morrow, Bill; Price, Lynn; 2012
1 Energy and Climate, 1.1 General Energy Concerns, 1.1.3 International and Foreign Think-tanks, Research Institutes, NGOs and Individual Researchers