Archive for 3 Oil & Gas

China’s Oil Reserve Forecast and Analysis Based on Peak Oil Models

Abstract In order to forecast future oil production it is necessary to know the size of the reserves and use models. In this article, we use the typical Peak Oil models, the Hu–Chen–Zhang model usually called HCZ model and the Hubbert model, which have been used commonly for forecasting in China and the world, to forecast China’s oil Ultimate Recovery (URR). The former appears to give more realistic results based on an URR for China of 15.64 billion tons. The study leads to some suggestions for new policies to meet the unfolding energy situation.
Date 2008
Author Lianyong Feng
Publisher
Link http://aspousa.org/2008/11/china-oil-reserve-forecast-and-analysis-based-on-peak-oil-models/
Series Energy Policy 36
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

Peak Oil and its Implications for Hong Kong

Abstract The looming peak in global oil production represents a huge risk to Hong Kong and the world. Yet the concept of Peak Oil and its consequences remain poorly understood. This briefing document provides a high level overview of the issue, its implications and some initial recommendations for the HKSAR government. Hong Kong’s unique position in China and indeed in the region could be permanently damaged, should Peak Oil materialize. Although we do not intend to be alarmist, recent evidence suggests that the peaking of global production should no longer be an abstract debate. We believe that the downside risks are substantial enough to justify immediate action. Specifically, the HKSAR government should err on the side of caution by managing risk and pro-actively preparing for Peak Oil.
Date 2007 06
Author Geoffrey Chen
Publisher
Link http://web.cup.edu.cn/peakoil/document/20081016200611906081.pdf
Attachment
3 Oil & Gas, 3.3 Peak Oil

China’s Global Shopping Spree: Is the World’s Future Resource Map Tilting East?

Abstract Think of it as a tale of two countries.  When it comes to procuring the resources that make industrial societies run, China is now the shopaholic of planet Earth, while the United States is staying at home.  Hard-hit by the global recession, the United States has experienced a marked decline in the consumption of oil and other key industrial materials.  Not so China.  With the recession’s crippling effects expected to linger in the U.S. for many years, analysts foresee a slow recovery when it comes to resource consumption.  Not so China. In fact, the Chinese are already experiencing a sharp increase in the use of oil and other commodities.  More than that, anticipating the kind of voracious resource consumption that goes with anticipated future growth, and worried about the availability of adequate supplies, giant Chinese energy and manufacturing firms — many of them state-owned — have been on a veritable spending binge when it comes to locking down resource supplies for the twenty-first century.  They have acquired oil fields, natural gas reserves, mines, pipelines, refineries, and other resource assets in a global buying spree of almost unprecedented proportions.
Date 2010 04 05
Author Michael T. Klare
Publisher
Link http://www.zcommunications.org/chinas-global-shopping-spree-by-michael-t-klare
Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    China’s Role in the East African Oil and Gas Sector: a New Model of Engagement?

    Abstract The oil and gas bonanza currently underway in East African looks set to alter the broader economic and geopolitical landscape of the region. As China continues its quest for energy security, East Africa is becoming an increasingly important region. Both Chinese state and non-state companies have gained a foot-hold in Uganda, Tanzania, Ethiopia and Kenya, where they are involved in both upstream and downstream activities. The Chinese presence, while significant, is off-set by a host of Euro-American, Middle Eastern and other Asian companies also involved in exploiting the region’s energy reserves. Infrastructural underdevelopment in the region is forcing Chinese companies to engage on the continent in new ways including the rise of joint Chinese-Euro-American ventures. This trend, in which China and its partners own financial stakes in infrastructure projects located in geo-politically unstable regions, will have future implications regarding security and national sovereignty within the region.
    Date 2012 08
    Author
    Publisher
    Link http://www.ccs.org.za/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/ccs_policy_briefing_8_2012_ra_east_africa_china_oil_and_gas.pdf
    Series CCS Policy Briefing, No. 8
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    Pipeline Politics: Comparative Bargaining Capacity in the Sino-Japanese Competition for Siberian Oil

    Abstract This article analyzes the relative bargaining capabilities of China and Japan in their drawn-out quest for Siberian oil. We apply an institutional analysis that examines over-time and cross-country variations in government-business relations and elite bureaucratic interests in responding to domestic energy needs and international oil supply options. While one might have expected China’s authoritarian policymaking process to convey an advantage in bilateral negotiations with Moscow, in fact Beijing became bogged down over the ten-year negotiation period with shifting corporate interests of national oil companies, bureaucratic preferences through administrative reform and succession politics, and elite redefinitions of energy security and ways to diversify the sources of imported crude oil. As a result, Beijing faltered in its commitment to Siberian oil. In contrast, the Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi exercised executive autonomy to secure a pipeline deal with Russia before seeking a consensus among the divided domestic bureaucratic and corporate interests. Our surprising findings highlight political economic contingencies that shape China’s and Japan’s strategies in addressing fundamental energy needs, with implications for the contentious nature of energy and security cooperation in Northeast Asia.
    Date 2012 10
    Author Dr. Kun-Chin Lin
    Publisher Centre for Rising Powers
    Link http://mws.polis.cam.ac.uk/crp/research/workingpapers/pdf/CRP_Working_Paper_6_Pipeline_Politics_Lin_and_Williams.pdf
    Series Working Paper #6
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    The Burma-China Pipelines: Human Rights Violations, Applicable Law, and Revenue Secrecy

    Abstract This briefer provides up-to-date information on the Burma-China gas and oil pipelines. Through firsthand accounts, leaked documents, and publicly available information, EarthRights International analyzes corporate responsibility and accountability with respect to the pipelines, according to international laws and standards, and Burmese law. It discusses how to mitigate harmful impacts and improve the benefits for the people of Burma, and concludes with practical recommendations for key stakeholders.
    Date 2011 03
    Author
    Publisher Earthrights International
    Link http://www.earthrights.org/sites/default/files/documents/the-burma-china-pipelines.pdf
    Series Situation Briefer No. 1
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    China in Burma: Increasing Investments of Chinese MNCs in Burma’s Hydropower, Oil & Natural Gas, and Mining Sectors

    Abstract This survey reveals a rapidly increasing number of Chinese multinational companies (MNCs) involved in hydropower, oil and natural gas, and mining projects in Burma. The report identifies that at least 45 Chinese companies have been involved in approximately 63 hydropower projects in Burma. The report raises concerns about the lack of public information about these projects as well as the potential social and environmental impacts given the current situation in Burma.
    Date 2008 09
    Author
    Publisher EarthRights International
    Link http://archive-2011.resources.revenuewatch.org/sites/default/files/Earth%20Rights-China%20in%20Burma.pdf
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    China, Energy and Global Expansion: New Investments in Argentina’s Oil Industry

    Abstract  In 2010, thanks to the recent investments, China was the first investor and second commercial partner of Argentina. Even though there were numerous investments –mining, manufactures, services, agribusiness, etc.-, one highlighted over the others; the 50% acquisition of Bridas by CNOOC. Bridas belonged to the Argentinean family Bulgheroni and along British Petroleum controlled an important company, considering that the country is a low hydrocarbon producer, Pan American Energy.
    Date 2011 07
    Author
    Publisher Observatorio Petrolero Sur
    Link http://www.opsur.org.ar/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/chinese-investments-in-argentina_s-oil-industry.pdf
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    Inversiones Chinas en Argentina: Claves del Nuevo Escenario Energético (Spanish Language Article)

    Date 2011 08
    Author
    Publisher Observatorio Petrolero Sur
    Link http://www.opsur.org.ar/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/inversiones-chinas-en-hidrocarburos.pdf
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations

    China’s Intentions for Russian and Central Asian Oil and Gas

    Abstract Dr. Gaye Christoffersen, president of Asia Pacific Research Associates, examines China’s political, economic, and security intentions for Russian and Central Asian oil and gas reserves and analyzes the implications of Sino-Kazak and Sino-Russian oil cooperation. Dr. Christoffersen points out that China’s increased influence in Russia and Central Asia raises a number of challenges for policymakers, including: lack of transparency in the bidding process; the potential exclusion of meaningful U.S. involvement; and a possible military component to petroleum agreements. Nevertheless, she concludes that pipelines to China from Central Asia and Russia would help to diversify Northeast Asian energy supply, reducing the region’s dependence on supplies from the Middle East, helping to meet the growing demand for resources, and offering Western companies alternative routes to transport their oil and gas from the former Soviet Union.
    Date 1998
    Author Gaye Christoffersen
    Publisher The National Bureau of Asian Research
    Link http://www.nbr.org/publications/analysis/pdf/vol9no2.pdf
    Series Analysis V9 N2
    Attachment
    3 Oil & Gas, 3.4 China's International Oil Relations