| Abstract |
This roadmap foresees wind power capacity reaching 200 GW by 2020, 400 GW by 2030 and 1 000 GW by 2050. Wind power will be one of five main power sources, and will meet 17% of electricity demand. As technology improves and wind power is scaled up, there are no insurmountable barriers to realising these ambitious targets, with respect to resources, technology, industry and the power system. Depending on the cost of wind energy development and the transmission cost of wind power in different areas, the supply curves in this roadmap will be achieved. If the marginal tariff for wind power is set at CNY 0.55/ kWh excluding the transmission cost for long distance, 700 GW could be installed around seven strategic concentrations. Before 2020, land-based wind power will dominate, with offshore wind power at the demonstration stage; from 2021 to 2030, both land and offshore wind power will be developed, and far offshore wind power will be in demonstration; after 2030, wind power will be developed further on land and offshore. |
